Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Cates 43.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 19-5 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 96.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 88.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 92.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Zibanejad
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
5
(24 meetings)
19
5
Zibanejad
Cates
Last 10: Zibanejad 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
2
Zibanejad
Cates
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
2
Zibanejad
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
9
1
Zibanejad
Cates
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
44.1% (2,786)
+6.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
42.9% (254)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
34.9% (373)
+6.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Cates
Home
51.6% (7,603)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Zibanejad
Cates
P1
50.4%
44.5%
P2
49.7%
43.7%
P3
49.9%
41.2%
OT
48.7%
29.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |