Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Greig 51.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 63.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 65.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Zibanejad
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Zibanejad
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
51.9% (347)
+1.4%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
66.7% (24)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
44.8% (87)
+1.5%
On power play, Greig has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Greig
Home
49.8% (466)
50.4% (254)
Away
54.0% (530)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Zibanejad
Greig
P1
52.9%
45.9%
P2
51.2%
60.1%
P3
51.7%
49.2%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |