Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Greig 49.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 55.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.9%
Neutral zone
Greig 52.1%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Zibanejad
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Zibanejad
Greig
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
3
4
Zibanejad
Greig
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Zibanejad
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
2
4
Zibanejad
Greig
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
48.7% (1,144)
+2.2%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
56.8% (74)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
47.2% (178)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Greig
Home
51.6% (7,603)
49.9% (688)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Zibanejad
Greig
P1
50.4%
46.0%
P2
49.7%
51.8%
P3
49.9%
49.1%
OT
48.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |