Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs McLeod 47.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 80.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 59.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 78.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Zibanejad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zibanejad
McLeod
Last 7: Zibanejad 5-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
49.0% (827)
+4.3%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
44.0% (91)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
43.0% (272)
+3.3%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
McLeod
Home
49.8% (466)
48.5% (619)
Away
54.0% (530)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Zibanejad
McLeod
P1
52.9%
52.7%
P2
51.2%
43.9%
P3
51.7%
45.8%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |