Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.4%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs McLeod 49.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Zibanejad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Zibanejad
McLeod
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
3
Zibanejad
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
6
Zibanejad
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
1
Zibanejad
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
50.4% (3,376)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
50.7% (296)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
44.1% (644)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
McLeod
Home
51.6% (7,603)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Zibanejad
McLeod
P1
50.4%
50.8%
P2
49.7%
48.0%
P3
49.9%
50.0%
OT
48.7%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |