Mika Zibanejad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Zibanejad 3-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
46.0% (250)
+7.3%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
70.6% (17)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
31.8% (22)
+14.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.8% (466)
50.3% (175)
Away
54.0% (530)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.9%
48.5%
P2
51.2%
45.9%
P3
51.7%
46.5%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |