Mika Zibanejad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 37-34 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 67.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 63.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
34
(71 meetings)
37
34
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
8
15
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
12
11
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
17
8
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
44.8% (8,775)
+6.1%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
50.6% (844)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
37.8% (880)
+3.8%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.6% (7,603)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.4%
45.1%
P2
49.7%
43.9%
P3
49.9%
45.2%
OT
48.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2023 | OT | 02:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |