Mika Zibanejad vs Ryan O'Reilly

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Zibanejad 51.8% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor Zibanejad leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone O'Reilly 82.4%
Defensive zone O'Reilly 60.6%
Neutral zone O'Reilly 68.3%
Result Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Zibanejad O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 6 (16 meetings)
10
6
Zibanejad O'Reilly
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Zibanejad O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
3
Zibanejad O'Reilly
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
55.7% (856)
-2.4%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
57.5% (233)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
50.0% (144)
-3.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Home
49.8% (466)
55.5% (616)
Away
54.0% (530)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
P1
52.9%
58.1%
P2
51.2%
54.9%
P3
51.7%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%
53.0%
52.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%
55.0%
55.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 21, 2025 3 08:18 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Dec 21, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Dec 21, 2025 2 06:48 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 21, 2025 1 14:35 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 21, 2025 1 03:49 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Dec 21, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Nov 10, 2025 3 13:30 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Nov 10, 2025 3 11:33 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 10, 2025 3 10:11 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 10, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Nov 10, 2025 2 17:17 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 10, 2025 2 17:16 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 10, 2025 2 11:05 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Nov 10, 2025 1 14:11 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 10, 2025 1 00:06 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 10, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad