Mika Zibanejad vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 70 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 96-92 in 188 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 55.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
92
-
96
(188 meetings)
92
96
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
29
41
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
70 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
37
25
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
62 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
26
30
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
56 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
56.2% (15,290)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
58.7% (3,457)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
51.4% (2,826)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Home
51.6% (7,603)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
P1
50.4%
55.6%
P2
49.7%
57.0%
P3
49.9%
55.0%
OT
48.7%
62.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |