Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Carrick 53.7% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 66.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Zibanejad
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
53.8% (654)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
0.0% (2)
+53.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
63.9% (36)
-17.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Carrick
Home
55.1% (501)
50.0% (328)
Away
49.2% (555)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Zibanejad
Carrick
P1
57.5%
56.7%
P2
50.7%
51.1%
P3
47.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%