Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Carrick 54.2% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 66.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 68.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Zibanejad
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
55.5% (470)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
66.7% (3)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
50.0% (58)
-3.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zibanejad shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Carrick
Home
49.8% (466)
58.6% (261)
Away
54.0% (530)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Zibanejad
Carrick
P1
52.9%
55.9%
P2
51.2%
53.5%
P3
51.7%
55.6%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%