Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Nosek 48.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 50.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Zibanejad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zibanejad
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Zibanejad
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
52.0% (102)
+1.3%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
100.0% (2)
-52.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
29.0% (31)
+17.3%
On power play, Nosek has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nosek
Home
49.8% (466)
52.0% (50)
Away
54.0% (530)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nosek
P1
52.9%
45.0%
P2
51.2%
42.0%
P3
51.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |