Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 68.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 58.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Zibanejad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Zibanejad
Nosek
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
3
Zibanejad
Nosek
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
9
Zibanejad
Nosek
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Zibanejad
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
54.9% (2,710)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
45.8% (48)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
47.2% (428)
-5.6%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nosek
Home
51.6% (7,603)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nosek
P1
50.4%
52.2%
P2
49.7%
54.1%
P3
49.9%
54.7%
OT
48.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |