Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Novak 43.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 54.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 83.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 74.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Zibanejad
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Zibanejad
Novak
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
3
Zibanejad
Novak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Novak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
1
Zibanejad
Novak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
41.8% (1,568)
+9.1%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
51.5% (134)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
50.0% (2)
-8.4%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Novak
Home
51.6% (7,603)
45.1% (831)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Zibanejad
Novak
P1
50.4%
43.7%
P2
49.7%
42.8%
P3
49.9%
41.1%
OT
48.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |