Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Geekie 49.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Backlund
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Backlund
Geekie
Last 9: Backlund 5-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
3
Backlund
Geekie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
49.9% (505)
+2.0%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
0.0% (6)
+51.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
48.4% (93)
-4.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Backlund
Geekie
Home
51.9% (673)
50.0% (314)
Away
49.9% (713)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Backlund
Geekie
P1
51.4%
51.3%
P2
50.5%
46.9%
P3
51.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.9%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |