Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Foligno 52.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 65.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Backlund
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Backlund
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Backlund
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
53.4% (249)
-2.4%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
53.2% (154)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
40.6% (32)
+1.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Backlund
Foligno
Home
51.2% (782)
57.3% (225)
Away
49.4% (765)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Backlund
Foligno
P1
51.5%
53.0%
P2
49.8%
51.8%
P3
49.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |