Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Brown 48.9% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Brown 55.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Backlund
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
44.4% (27)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
50.0% (6)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Brown is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Backlund
Brown
Home
51.2% (782)
37.5% (8)
Away
49.4% (765)
48.0% (25)
By Period
Backlund
Brown
P1
51.5%
54.5%
P2
49.8%
40.0%
P3
49.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%