Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Brown 48.6% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Brown 59.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Backlund
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
43.6% (39)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
60.0% (5)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Brown is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Backlund
Brown
Home
48.7% (749)
55.6% (9)
Away
48.1% (703)
42.9% (35)
By Period
Backlund
Brown
P1
50.4%
18.2%
P2
50.1%
58.8%
P3
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%