Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Suter 48.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 50.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Backlund
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Suter
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Backlund
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (930)
49.7% (370)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
44.4% (18)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (293)
39.8% (83)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Backlund is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (926).
Backlund shoots left. Suter is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suter
Home
48.1% (636)
47.1% (242)
Away
51.1% (653)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Backlund
Suter
P1
45.2%
48.2%
P2
54.2%
47.4%
P3
48.8%
48.8%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.7%
Suter
38.0%▼
47.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |