Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Suter 48.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Backlund
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Suter
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Backlund
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
49.7% (372)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
47.4% (19)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
39.8% (83)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Suter is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Backlund
Suter
Home
48.1% (636)
47.1% (242)
Away
51.4% (671)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Backlund
Suter
P1
45.4%
48.2%
P2
54.1%
47.7%
P3
49.2%
48.8%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |