Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Greig 51.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 67.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Backlund
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Backlund
Greig
Last 8: Backlund 0-8 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
6
Backlund
Greig
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Backlund
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
51.9% (347)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
66.7% (24)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
44.8% (87)
+2.3%
On power play, Greig has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Backlund
Greig
Home
48.1% (636)
50.4% (254)
Away
51.4% (671)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Backlund
Greig
P1
45.4%
45.9%
P2
54.1%
60.1%
P3
49.2%
49.2%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |