Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.9%). Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Greig 49.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Backlund
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Backlund
Greig
Last 10: Backlund 1-9 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
6
Backlund
Greig
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
3
Backlund
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
48.7% (1,144)
+1.0%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
56.8% (74)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
47.2% (178)
-3.3%
On power play, Greig has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Backlund
Greig
Home
49.7% (8,621)
49.9% (688)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Backlund
Greig
P1
48.5%
46.0%
P2
50.3%
51.8%
P3
48.4%
49.1%
OT
45.1%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |