Mikael Backlund vs Robert Thomas
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 67-64 in 131 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Backlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
67
(131 meetings)
64
67
Backlund
Thomas
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
14
28
Backlund
Thomas
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
28
22
Backlund
Thomas
50 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
22
17
Backlund
Thomas
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
51.1% (5,387)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
55.8% (927)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
50.2% (697)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Backlund shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thomas
Home
49.7% (8,621)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Backlund
Thomas
P1
48.5%
50.7%
P2
50.3%
53.0%
P3
48.4%
50.8%
OT
45.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |