Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Donato 47.1% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 50.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Backlund
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
30.4% (23)
+21.1%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
53.3% (15)
-3.9%
On even strength, Backlund has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Donato is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Backlund
Donato
Home
51.6% (653)
47.1% (17)
Away
49.3% (576)
33.3% (21)
By Period
Backlund
Donato
P1
50.0%
33.3%
P2
49.8%
28.6%
P3
51.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.5%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |