Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 92.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 75.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
46.0% (250)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
70.6% (17)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
31.8% (22)
+15.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.1% (636)
50.3% (175)
Away
51.4% (671)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.4%
48.5%
P2
54.1%
45.9%
P3
49.2%
46.5%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |