Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Bennett 48.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 81.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Backlund
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Backlund
Bennett
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Backlund
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Backlund
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
46.4% (811)
+4.1%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
56.9% (153)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
47.8% (46)
-0.7%
On power play, Bennett has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bennett
Home
48.1% (636)
49.9% (553)
Away
51.4% (671)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Backlund
Bennett
P1
45.4%
47.4%
P2
54.1%
46.8%
P3
49.2%
48.9%
OT
55.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |