Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Bennett 47.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 34-22 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 50.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Backlund
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
22
(56 meetings)
34
22
Backlund
Bennett
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
6
13
Backlund
Bennett
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
3
Backlund
Bennett
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
6
Backlund
Bennett
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
46.8% (5,714)
+2.9%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
53.6% (558)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
41.8% (256)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bennett
Home
49.7% (8,621)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Backlund
Bennett
P1
48.5%
48.0%
P2
50.3%
46.5%
P3
48.4%
46.8%
OT
45.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |