Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Carrick 54.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 67.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 52.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 61.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Backlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
55.5% (470)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
66.7% (3)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
50.0% (58)
-2.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Backlund
Carrick
Home
48.1% (636)
58.6% (261)
Away
51.4% (671)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Backlund
Carrick
P1
45.4%
55.9%
P2
54.1%
53.5%
P3
49.2%
55.6%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |