Mikael Backlund vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 90.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 69.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Backlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Stamkos
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Backlund
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
57.1% (368)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
55.2% (96)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
50.0% (10)
-2.9%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stamkos
Home
48.1% (636)
53.9% (230)
Away
51.4% (671)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Backlund
Stamkos
P1
45.4%
56.7%
P2
54.1%
54.1%
P3
49.2%
59.2%
OT
55.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |