Mikael Backlund vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 49-40 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Backlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
40
(89 meetings)
49
40
Backlund
Stamkos
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
18
19
Backlund
Stamkos
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
19
15
Backlund
Stamkos
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
12
6
Backlund
Stamkos
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,449)
50.5% (9,825)
-0.8%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
55.2% (1,729)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,461)
49.6% (827)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,245).
Backlund shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stamkos
Home
49.7% (8,621)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Backlund
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
49.2%
P2
50.3%
52.7%
P3
48.3%
50.9%
OT
45.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |