Mikael Backlund vs Tage Thompson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mikael Backlund holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backlund 49.8% vs Thompson 45.2% (+5.2%)
H2H factor Backlund leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Thompson 59.8%
Defensive zone Backlund 88.5%
Neutral zone Backlund 64.7%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Backlund Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 6 (14 meetings)
8
6
Backlund Thompson
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Backlund Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund Thompson
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
44.6% (661)
+5.9%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
48.4% (95)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
33.3% (33)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +13.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thompson
Home
48.1% (636)
45.7% (411)
Away
51.4% (671)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Backlund
Thompson
P1
45.4%
47.7%
P2
54.1%
45.7%
P3
49.2%
40.5%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
42.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%
50.0%
49.8%
Thompson
36.0%
40.0%
44.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 8, 2025 3 17:50 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 8, 2025 3 01:32 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Dec 8, 2025 2 19:00 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 8, 2025 2 14:53 Offensive Tage Thompson
Dec 8, 2025 2 10:28 Neutral Tage Thompson
Dec 8, 2025 2 09:05 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 8, 2025 2 07:05 Neutral Tage Thompson
Dec 8, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Dec 8, 2025 1 19:46 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 19, 2025 3 07:16 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 19, 2025 2 17:48 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 19, 2025 2 04:39 Offensive Tage Thompson
Nov 19, 2025 1 06:56 Neutral Tage Thompson
Nov 19, 2025 1 01:11 Offensive Tage Thompson