Mikael Backlund vs Tage Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 29-28 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 59.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Backlund
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
29
(57 meetings)
28
29
Backlund
Thompson
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
8
14
Backlund
Thompson
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
9
4
Backlund
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Backlund
Thompson
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
42.9% (3,540)
+6.8%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
46.9% (373)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
33.6% (265)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Backlund shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thompson
Home
49.7% (8,621)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Backlund
Thompson
P1
48.5%
44.4%
P2
50.3%
43.7%
P3
48.4%
40.0%
OT
45.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |