Mikael Backlund vs Yanni Gourde
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 38-29 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Backlund
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
29
(67 meetings)
38
29
Backlund
Gourde
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
6
Backlund
Gourde
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
9
11
Backlund
Gourde
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
15
12
Backlund
Gourde
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
48.4% (4,987)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
57.4% (376)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
40.0% (555)
+3.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gourde
Home
49.7% (8,621)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Backlund
Gourde
P1
48.5%
49.8%
P2
50.3%
47.5%
P3
48.4%
47.5%
OT
45.1%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |