Mikael Backlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 58.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Backlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Backlund
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Backlund
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
45.1% (164)
+5.4%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
50.0% (2)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
45.2% (31)
+1.9%
On even strength, Backlund has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Backlund
Girgensons
Home
48.1% (636)
44.6% (92)
Away
51.4% (671)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Backlund
Girgensons
P1
45.4%
44.2%
P2
54.1%
46.0%
P3
49.2%
45.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |