Mikael Backlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Girgensons leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Girgensons 64.8%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 67.1%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 65.8%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Backlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Backlund
Girgensons
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
5
Backlund
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
3
5
Backlund
Girgensons
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
4
Backlund
Girgensons
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
45.5% (2,718)
+4.2%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
49.1% (175)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
42.2% (483)
+1.7%
On even strength, Backlund has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Backlund
Girgensons
Home
49.7% (8,621)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Backlund
Girgensons
P1
48.5%
45.8%
P2
50.3%
44.1%
P3
48.4%
45.7%
OT
45.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |