Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs Dowd 48.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 92.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 69.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Granlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Granlund
Dowd
Last 8: Granlund 6-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
4
0
Granlund
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Granlund
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
51.0% (671)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
0.0% (2)
+58.6%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
41.5% (224)
-10.4%
On power play, Granlund has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Granlund shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Granlund
Dowd
Home
54.7% (276)
48.2% (471)
Away
45.8% (389)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Granlund
Dowd
P1
52.2%
48.3%
P2
49.3%
46.8%
P3
47.4%
51.0%
OT
45.5%
30.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |