Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 79.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 60.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Granlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
22
(34 meetings)
12
22
Granlund
Dowd
Last 10: Granlund 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
9
2
Granlund
Dowd
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
11
Granlund
Dowd
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
9
Granlund
Dowd
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,765)
52.3% (6,036)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.0% (760)
56.1% (164)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
44.1% (1,638)
-0.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,967).
Granlund shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Granlund
Dowd
Home
51.0% (3,905)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
46.4% (4,255)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Granlund
Dowd
P1
48.8%
51.5%
P2
48.7%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
50.3%
OT
43.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |