Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs McLeod 47.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 63.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 75.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 68.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Granlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Granlund
McLeod
Last 10: Granlund 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Granlund
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Granlund
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
49.0% (827)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
44.0% (91)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
43.0% (272)
-11.9%
On power play, Granlund has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Granlund shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Granlund
McLeod
Home
54.7% (276)
48.5% (619)
Away
45.8% (389)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Granlund
McLeod
P1
52.2%
52.7%
P2
49.3%
43.9%
P3
47.4%
45.8%
OT
45.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |