Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.4%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.6% vs McLeod 49.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 55.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Granlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Granlund
McLeod
Last 10: Granlund 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
4
Granlund
McLeod
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
4
Granlund
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
6
Granlund
McLeod
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,765)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.0% (760)
50.7% (296)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
44.1% (644)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Granlund shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Granlund
McLeod
Home
51.0% (3,905)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
46.4% (4,255)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Granlund
McLeod
P1
48.8%
50.8%
P2
48.7%
48.0%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
43.3%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |