Mikael Granlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 63.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 75.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 71.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
0
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
46.0% (250)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
70.6% (17)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
31.8% (22)
-0.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Granlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.7% (276)
50.3% (175)
Away
45.8% (389)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.2%
48.5%
P2
49.3%
45.9%
P3
47.4%
46.5%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |