Mikael Granlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 27-24 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 61.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 62.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 60.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
24
(51 meetings)
27
24
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Granlund 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
7
12
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
12
4
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,765)
44.8% (8,775)
+3.8%
Power Play
53.0% (760)
50.6% (844)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
37.8% (880)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Granlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.0% (3,905)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
46.4% (4,255)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.8%
45.1%
P2
48.7%
43.9%
P3
48.5%
45.2%
OT
43.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |