Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs Aho 50.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 67.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 57.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Granlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Granlund
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
0
Granlund
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
50.5% (878)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
53.5% (144)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
44.3% (61)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Granlund shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Granlund
Aho
Home
54.7% (276)
53.8% (571)
Away
45.8% (389)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Granlund
Aho
P1
52.2%
49.0%
P2
49.3%
51.7%
P3
47.4%
50.3%
OT
45.5%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |