Mikael Granlund vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.6% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 69.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 55.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Granlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
21
(44 meetings)
23
21
Granlund
Aho
Last 10: Granlund 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Granlund
Aho
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
9
6
Granlund
Aho
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
7
8
Granlund
Aho
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,765)
50.2% (6,646)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.0% (760)
58.9% (1,310)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
46.5% (465)
-2.9%
On power play, Aho has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Granlund shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Granlund
Aho
Home
51.0% (3,905)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
46.4% (4,255)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Granlund
Aho
P1
48.8%
51.1%
P2
48.7%
52.1%
P3
48.5%
50.8%
OT
43.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |