Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.9% vs Hertl 57.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 78.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 90.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 80.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Granlund
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Granlund
Hertl
Last 9: Granlund 0-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Granlund
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Granlund
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Granlund
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (476)
58.5% (845)
-9.6%
Power Play
57.9% (107)
56.2% (281)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
62.9% (35)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Granlund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Granlund shoots left. Hertl is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Granlund
Hertl
Home
53.3% (255)
60.0% (582)
Away
45.8% (389)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Granlund
Hertl
P1
52.0%
52.1%
P2
48.6%
63.6%
P3
45.9%
58.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |