Mikhail Grabovski vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 50.2% vs Hertl 54.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 84.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 77.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 80.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
Grabovski
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Grabovski
Hertl
Last 7: Grabovski 5-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
0
Grabovski
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
4
2
Grabovski
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,443)
53.9% (8,303)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.1% (459)
59.2% (1,995)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
46.3% (806)
-1.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Grabovski is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,613).
Grabovski shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Hertl
Home
51.0% (2,090)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
49.3% (1,966)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Grabovski
Hertl
P1
50.0%
53.6%
P2
49.9%
54.2%
P3
50.6%
55.3%
OT
53.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |