Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.5%). Rantanen wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs Dowd 48.6% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 84.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Rantanen
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
51.0% (671)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
On power play, Rantanen has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rantanen is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Rantanen shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Dowd
Home
48.4% (31)
48.2% (471)
Away
50.0% (38)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Rantanen
Dowd
P1
50.0%
48.3%
P2
30.0%
46.8%
P3
72.2%
51.0%
OT
42.9%
30.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%