Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.7%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.8%
Defensive zone
Rantanen 55.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.7%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Rantanen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Rantanen
Dowd
Last 10: Rantanen 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
7
0
Rantanen
Dowd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
7
Rantanen
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,525)
52.3% (6,036)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.8% (486)
56.1% (164)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.1% (1,638)
-29.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rantanen is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Rantanen shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Dowd
Home
53.0% (1,067)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
48.3% (951)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Rantanen
Dowd
P1
49.0%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
50.4%
P3
51.9%
50.3%
OT
57.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |