Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 51.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 65.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 61.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Rantanen
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rantanen
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
51.3% (945)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
50.7% (282)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Rantanen is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Rantanen shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Suzuki
Home
48.4% (31)
51.0% (637)
Away
50.0% (38)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Rantanen
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
53.1%
P2
30.0%
47.4%
P3
72.2%
51.3%
OT
42.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
38.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |