Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 92.2%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 75.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Rantanen
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Rantanen
Suzuki
Last 10: Rantanen 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
7
1
Rantanen
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
4
Rantanen
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,525)
49.4% (6,368)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.8% (486)
50.8% (1,355)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.0% (466)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Rantanen is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Rantanen shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Suzuki
Home
53.0% (1,067)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
48.3% (951)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Rantanen
Suzuki
P1
49.0%
48.9%
P2
51.1%
49.1%
P3
51.9%
50.3%
OT
57.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OT | 01:32 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |