Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs Acciari 50.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 85.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Rantanen
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rantanen
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Rantanen
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
52.7% (313)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
33.3% (18)
+16.7%
On power play, Rantanen has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Rantanen is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Rantanen shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Acciari
Home
48.4% (31)
52.6% (291)
Away
50.0% (38)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Rantanen
Acciari
P1
50.0%
53.7%
P2
30.0%
51.1%
P3
72.2%
48.5%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
38.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |